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原文、參考譯文和權威點評，請參見昂立外語翻譯閱讀名師張娟Karen老師的博客：

http://blog.onlycollege.com.cn/686/viewspace-15173

convince 說服，使…信服

layman 門外漢，外行

excessive 過度的，過多的

skeptical 懷疑的= sceptical

radiation 輻射，放射

avert 避免，防止

prevailing 主要的，流行的，占主流地位的

原文如下，可自行翻譯后對照上面鏈接給出的Karen老師的版本。

A majority of the world’s climate scientists have convinced themselves, and also a lot of laymen, some of whom have political power, that the Earth’s climate is changing; that the change, from humanity’s point of view, is for the worse; and that the cause is human activity, in the form of excessive emissions of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide.

A minority, though, are sceptical. Some think that recent data suggesting the Earth’s average temperature is rising are explained by natural variations in solar radiation, and that this trend may be coming to an end. Others argue that there is no conclusive evidence that modern temperatures are higher than they used to be.

We believe that global warming is a serious threat, and that the world needs to take steps to try to avert it. That is the job of the politicians. But we do not believe that climate change is a certainty. There are no certainties in science. Prevailing theories must be constantly tested against evidence, and more evidence collected, and the theories tested again. That is the job of the scientists.

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